The People vs FiveThirtyEight

How 60 random sports fans on Reddit, blew away the forecasters at FiveThirtyEight ESPN's FiveThirtyEight website has built a reputation for deep analysis and forecasting confidence. Nowhere is this more evident than the prediction they published before yesterday's Orange Bowl. The in-depth preview stretches out…
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Swarms Find Insights That Surveys Miss

Surveys are an important tool for researchers, but they have their limitations. They provide a snapshot of respondents’ thinking at a single point in time. Such snapshots don’t tell a complete story, and as recent failures in political polling attest,…
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SWARM SAYS: WE BELIEVE!

A day after the US celebrates Independence Day, millions of sports fans will be looking to celebrate again as the US National Team takes on Japan in the championship game of the Women's World Cup.  Four years ago, Japan edged the US in…
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