The end is near.

After what has seemed to be an interminably long election cycle, voters are finally going to the polls in the 2016 Presidential election. In just a few hours – barring the sort of contested result that many fear is looming – the nation will know who its next President will be. With so many twists and turns in the final days of the elections, polls have varied widely from a Clinton landslide to a Trump victory by 5 points.

So, while there’s no shortage of polls out there, there is only one Swarm Artificial Intelligence, and the researchers at Unanimous A.I. wanted to ask the Swarm to take a look at the latest national polls and make sense of what the major media outlets are projecting. Swarm AI is  a mix of computational algorithms and real input from real people in real time, thinking together as a closed-loop system, using swarming algorithms to converge on optimized answers.   The mix of human wisdom and software processing has proven to reveal powerful insights (see how Swarm Intelligence predicted every MLB playoff team, plus the World Series matchup and winner here).

Researchers asked the Swarm to ponder the major polls from FiveThirtyEight, the New York Times, the LA Times, and Washington Post and reflect on what those polls are projecting about popular vote.  This is what the swarm said:

The Swarm believes that Hillary Clinton will win the popular vote.  Current national polls  project between 3 and 5 percent, leading researchers to ask the Swarm to weigh in on those polls, asking where in that range the true result is most likely to fall.  This is what the Swarm had to say:

As Al Gore knows all too well, winning the popular vote is only one part of becoming President, but the Swarm was not asked to predict the outcome of all 50 states. So, there is still good reason to watch the election results unfold as the night goes on. Join the Swarm at the live UNU Election Viewing Party here:

Once all the votes have been  tallied, the candidates have very different roles to play. The winner must prepare his or her acceptance speech, and begin the transition into the role of President of the United States. The loser, however, must make the difficult decision to concede the election. The “peaceful transfer of power” is one of the hallmarks of American democracy, but Trump has threatened to disrupt that by keeping the nation “in suspense” as to whether or not he’ll accept the results of the election should Clinton win. Researchers asked the Swarm about the chances that each candidate would “graciously concede” the election if they lose. The Swarm’s responses are presented side-by-side below.

With the above in mind, the researchers asked the Swarm one final question: what are the chances that Trump will demand a recount in at least one state if he loses the election? The certainty with which the Swarm responds offers real insight into voters’ perception of the man who just might President in a few hours.

If you’d like to tap into the intelligence of your group…or any other….drop us a line below.