It’s easy to overreact to the start of the Major League Baseball season. The first four or five games played represent a tiny fraction of a season that will stretch out across the summer and into fall. With that said, it’s to be expected that fans will wonder if a hot start (hello, Pittsburgh Pirates) or early struggles (what the heck, Dodgers?) can maybe indicate the leading edge of a trend. As we enter the second week of the season, the weekly MLB Swarm has to work with that small sample size and its inherent biases to predict today’s games.
Today a group of the best starting pitchers in the majors will be back on the mound for their second starts of the 2018 season. Starting pitching can be a key factor in helping swarm participants make a selection, as arguably no single player has as much influence on the outcome of a single baseball game. For its best-bet, pick of the night, the swarm was spoiled for choice with Jon Lester, Clayton Kershaw, Chase Anderson, and Chris Sale all scheduled to work today…but they went with the Astros and their fireballing ace, Justin Verlander.
Although it’s likely that Carlos Correa — the linchpin of the Houston offense –– will miss tonight’s game with a toe injury, the swarm still had no issues with making the Astros their highest-confidence pick. In the replay above, the magnets converge for a very rapid consensus on a Houston win by 2 or more runs. The swarm went to the max on the hypothetical betting confidence as well. When it came down to choose their best bet of the night, this was the game that won, edging out Boston playing in Miami.
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