Trump, Mueller and the New Red Line

Political commentator Scott Adams uses the analogy, “two movies on one screen to describe how different political groups can witness the exact same event and reach wildly different conclusions about its meaning. Trump and his supporters have largely characterized the Mueller investigation into his potential ties with Russia as a “witch hunt” perpetrated by “Fake News“, all of which will eventually lead to a “nothing burger.” Meanwhile, some of the President’s detractors in the House of Representatives filed the articles of impeachment earlier this month.

But now the Mueller investigation seems to have expanded beyond politics to include Trump’s personal finances. Trump told the New York Times that such a move would cross a “red line” that could ultimately cost Mueller his job. But is Mueller digging into the new President’s extensive business dealings truly out of bounds? And would the president really fire Mueller the way he did James Comey?

To find out, researchers at Unanimous A.I. formed a group of thirty American voters and pooled their collected wisdom, intelligence and intuition using our Swarm AI platform. This processes produces what we call “Swarm Insight,” a fundamentally new approach to tapping into and amplifying the intelligence of any group.

As you can see, the Swarm AI displayed “High Confidence” in the idea that Trump’s financial dealings are germane to the investigation into his potential ties to Russia. This insight would seem to echo the view expressed earlier in the New Republic, that “a review of the public record reveals a clear and disturbing pattern: Trump owes much of his business success, and by extension his presidency, to a flow of highly suspicious money from Russia.” If Mueller’s investigation aims to surface those claims, and Trump’s “red line” declaration is taken at his word, that means the president would be compelled to fire the former FBI director before his investigation is complete. Such a move would be unprecedented in American politics, but yesterday’s Swarm AI did not find it unlikely.


The president has widespread authority. Comey himself noted that as FBI Director, the president could be fire him for “any reason, or no reason at all.” It was reported this week that Trump has requested information on his ability to pardon himself should any wrongdoing surface. In light of those broad powers, the swarm will not be surprised if Mueller shares the same fast as Comey.

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