An AI-Optimized Forecast for Oscar Night

All eyes turn to Hollywood this Sunday for the 92nd Academy Awards. Unanimous AI took a new approach to its annual Oscar forecast, incorporating multiple swarms over a number of weeks to produce our AI-optimized set of predictions. Dr. Rosenberg, CEO of Unanimous AI, described this approach as a “‘swarm of swarms’ that functions as a super-intelligent hive mind” in order to produce what we hope will be our most accurate forecast yet. Of course, that’s a high bar to clear, as previous Oscar predictions have been remarkably successful, including a 94% accuracy rate that beat all experts on record.

Below is a complete breakdown of all of the major awards.  As you can see, the Swarm AI system predicts a big night for Sam Mendes and his one-take war epic 1917, as well as a pair of Oscars for PARASITE and ONCE UPON A TIME…IN HOLLYWOOD.

Here also is a look at how the Swarm AI system analyzes the information it gathers during our Oscar forecasting sessions. This Support Density map registers the relative sentiment into the most and least likely candidates for the Best Director Oscar in one of the discrete responses that comprise the “swarm of swarms.” As you can see, support for Sam Mendes and 1917 is clearly dominant in this instance, although both Todd Philips ( JOKER ) and Quentin Tarantino ( ONCE UPON A TIME…IN HOLLYWOOD) received a modicum of early support.

Finally, here is another way of looking at how the Swarm AI system ranks the probable chances for each of the four major categories. This “spider chart” shows that 1917 is given a 46% chance of winning Best Picture, a noteworthy percentage in a field of nine contenders. Similarly, that both Renee Zellweger and Joaquin Phoenix are hovering around 61% to win Best Actress and Best Actor establishes them as heavy, heavy favorites.

In addition to the Oscars, our Swarm AI technology also powers daily forecasts for the Sportspicker AI service. Now that the NFL season has concluded, we are also working on an analysis of the FULL SEASON of NFL predictions. Check back at this blog for a post on that soon! In the meantime, don’t forget that Sportspicker AI has great packages available for NBA Basketball, NHL Hockey, and EPL Soccer. The AI Model is remarkably well calibrated for all 3, so now is the time to join us. Click the button below to learn more.

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Want to learn more about our Swarm AI technology? Check out our TED talk below…