The People vs FiveThirtyEight

How 60 random sports fans on Reddit, blew away the forecasters at FiveThirtyEight ESPN's FiveThirtyEight website has built a reputation for deep analysis and forecasting confidence. Nowhere is this more evident than the prediction they published before yesterday's Orange Bowl. The in-depth preview stretches out…
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Swarms Find Insights That Surveys Miss

Surveys are an important tool for researchers, but they have their limitations. They provide a snapshot of respondents’ thinking at a single point in time. Such snapshots don’t tell a complete story, and as recent failures in political polling attest,…
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